Archive for December, 2009

Wen Jiabao, Chinas premier minister, made it clear yesterday that China will not give in to US and European demands for the Yuan to strenghten. Beijing are becoming more defiant against foreign pressure regarding their currency policy.

“On the one hand, you are asking for the renminbi to appreciate; and for the other hand, you are taking all kinds of protectionist measures”, said Jiabao.

He find that by keeping the Yuan stable against the Dollar, China is contributing to the global recovery. (more…)

The last week have put a lot of focus on Greece and the Euro. Below are some possible outcomes of the crisis in Greece.

Increasing Budget deficit

How far can the statistics for Greece’s public finances be trusted? The Bank of Greece says the budget deficit in 2009 will be 12.7%. Two months ago the previous government said it would be 6.7%. The latest numbers reveal a debt level of 121 % higher then GDP. However, the true numbers might not be discovered
yet, in the highly corrupt country of Greece.

Even lower credit ratings

Both Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s have now lowered Greece credits ratings. Greece have now the lowest credit ratings in EU. But it’s still higher then many investors had expected. After the news of the adjusted credit ratings for Greece, the Euro fell 0,5 % against the dollar. (more…)

The Dollar ended the week with monthly records against its major six rivals, indicating a broad strenght of the US currency.

Major investors and forex analysts expect that recent stronger economic data will prompt FED to higher interest rates sooner the earlier expected.

Stronger data supports the US dollar

The recent series of stronger data are shifting to support the dollar. “At least from an interest-rates perspective,” said Mike Moran, senior forex strategist at Standard Chartered Bank in New York. (more…)