Posts Tagged ‘aussie dollar’

Australia’s dollar rose to a one-month high and bond yields rebounded from the lowest ever as the central bank refrained from cutting interest rates.

The Reserve Bank of Australia left the benchmark rate at a record-low 1.75 percent, as forecast by all but one economist surveyed by news agency Bloomberg. Most expect the central bank to resume easing in August after a quarter-point reduction in May in response to a record-low core inflation reading.

“Last night’s RBA policy statement was judged as lacking an explicit easing bias,” said Jane Foley, a senior currency strategist at Rabobank International in London. “While this assessment has lent the Australian dollar significant support this morning, there are sufficient negative nuances contained within the RBA’s policy outlook to infer that the prospect of an August rate cut remain very strong.”

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RBA, The Reserve Bank of Australia, decided on Tuesday to keep the interest rates unchanged for the third month in a row. We continue to see strong numbers for Australian employment and growth, and expect AUD to continue being strong against the USD with many carry traders moving to the pair (USD/AUD).

Strong growth among Australia’s trading partners

Economic data for the June quarter indicate strong growth, around 6 %, for Australia’s major trading partners. China, Japan and Korea had a stronger growth than expected, while the US economy grows less than expected.

Economic conditions in Australia

First, the Australian labour market has continued to show more jobs, while employment increased by over 46 000 jobs in June, growing 3.25 % since (more…)

Today we cover two interesting currencies which seen increased volume in the last 6 months – Australian dollar against the U.S. Dollar. Here is a brief currency forecast from a technical analyst point of view.

AUD/USD – Short-term

Over the next 48 hours, make sure to keep track of the following resistance and support levels:
-Resistance to AUD/USD: 0.9190-06, 0.9228, 0.9276-90 and 0.9404
-Support for AUD/USD: 0.9136, 0.9118, 0.9050-75 and 0.8997

Although there is support for the currency pair around 0.9118, the possibility for a break through the resistance at 0.9228 remains. In the short term, most of the leading forex analysts believe in a bullish move, ie. Australian to U.S. dollars strengthened against the USD.

AUD / USD – medium term

We have seen a (more…)