Posts Tagged ‘Interest rates’

Australia’s dollar rose to a one-month high and bond yields rebounded from the lowest ever as the central bank refrained from cutting interest rates.

The Reserve Bank of Australia left the benchmark rate at a record-low 1.75 percent, as forecast by all but one economist surveyed by news agency Bloomberg. Most expect the central bank to resume easing in August after a quarter-point reduction in May in response to a record-low core inflation reading.

“Last night’s RBA policy statement was judged as lacking an explicit easing bias,” said Jane Foley, a senior currency strategist at Rabobank International in London. “While this assessment has lent the Australian dollar significant support this morning, there are sufficient negative nuances contained within the RBA’s policy outlook to infer that the prospect of an August rate cut remain very strong.”

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The Colombian peso weakened on Tuesday (31/5) after the country’s central bank announced it would suspend an intervention policy aimed at slowing the currency’s decline.

The central bank said on Friday (27/5) it would not hold any additional dollar option sales, but did not fully rule out further intervention.

The bank also increased its benchmark interest rate for a ninth consecutive month on Friday, to 7.25 per cent, confirming the expectations of most analysts in a Reuters poll.

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All eyes within the online Forex trading market have been focused upon the performance of the dollar in relation to the recent interest rate hike enacted by the Federal Reserve. What is interesting to note is that many investors expected the value of this currency to strengthen significantly when compared to major counterparts such as the pound and the euro.

After a short and somewhat disappointing rally, the dollar has failed to exhibit any real strength. Many Forex analysts believe that this lack of upward momentum signals the continued sensitivity of this currency; particularly in terms of the final two weeks of 2015. However, there may be another reason why the dollar is failing to perform even while the price of commodities continues to fall.
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The latest round of online forex trading news highlights the continued fact that traders are adopting a “watch and wait” approach in terms of any significant movements. Part of the reason for this strategy is that there is relatively little data expected to be released over the next few days.

If anything, the details which have emerged are far from promising. Once again, economic figures released from China have echoed weakness while the recent sell-off in oil (regardless of short-term technical gains) highlights that markets are still in a sluggish position.
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A consensus of almost fifty economic experts predicts that Britain will show a growth rate that exceeds the rest of the G7 nations in the coming quarters, but the Bank of England is in no rush to increase interest rates, which might slow the rate of recovery.

The poll agrees with online Forex trading positions that the Bank of England will hold interest rates until the second quarter of 2015, raising them then by 25 base points, with a further increase of the same magnitude in the third quarter.
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Swedish Riksbanken speech insisted that Sweden’s rate is planned to remain flat until autumn 2010. Ingves pointed out the risk of a potential real estate bubble if the current interest rate levels remains for a long period.

He continues: “We believe that interest rates will be significantly higher in a few years from now”. In 2011, the interest rates will probably go up sharply, from less than 1% to 3%. At least if we are to believe the current forecast from the Swedish Riksbank.

Why was the Swedish interest rates unchanged?

Everything indicates that the recovery in the economy continues, while inflation pressures continue to be low.

With the Riksbank’s inflation target of 2 percent and to simultaneously support the economic recovery of the Riksbank decided to leave the repo rate unchanged at 0.25 percent. (more…)